Maybe, but not because of the killing of Osama bin Laden.
Unless OBL has been heavily involved in the day-to-day operations of the organization for the past decade while being so far off the radar that fore than a few thought him dead since 2001 or 2002, the actual direct impact here on the al Qaeda organization is going to small.
If they’re “scattered,” it’s because of the past nine and a half years of military, intelligence, and covert operations against them and their allies, not because of this (obviously significant) deletion of an inspirational figurehead.
Someone told me that Oprah tweeted “Does this mean the war’s over?” I hope that’s not true.
To be honest, Murdoc’s a little mystified by the pictures of jubilation in the streets. Are those for real? Are people really running around high-fiving and cheering and dancing over this?
This should be taken like a home run hit in the top of the fifth inning of a close baseball game. Get up and cheer. Then get back to business. It ain’t over, and it might not even be close to over.
What this could afford us is the opportunity to take a long, hard, honest look at what’s going on in Afghanistan/Pakistan and make some decisions about the direction we’re going to head and the goals we’re going to pursue. Murdoc’s been skeptical since Day One that any efforts to nation build in Afghanistan were going to be truly successful and nothing in the past nine years has changed that opinion. In fact, the belief that there is no worthy end point in that desolate pit grows stronger by the week.
We need to keep fighting the war. But perhaps we can shift gears.
UPDATE: Incidentally, I don’t believe Official: Bin Laden buried at sea
Oh, I believe we SAID we buried him at sea. And I understand the desire to not inflame the sensibilities of others further.
But burying him at sea sounds like something from a comic book or James Bond movie. You know, things that have to remain open-ended for the next installment.
We’re going to have to prove he’s dead for at least a couple of generations.