AE Brain has two posts up on what should be considered scary developments in ol’ Persia:
Iran plans to launch a satellite using its own booster sometime next year.
To launch a fairly expensive satellite like this with a home-grown booster just doesn’t make any sense, it’s just throwing money away in massive quantities, with an excellent chance of launch failure. You can pay $1 million and have a 95% chance of success, or pay $20 million and have at least a 50% chance of losing your $20 million satellite. Only one explanation is credible.
Launching a satellite like this “with Iranian technology” means they’re developing IRBMs. Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missiles, with ranges way in excess of anything the Pakistanis or Indians have tested. And possibly longer, true ICBMs. Add this to the Iranian Nuclear program, and Alarm Bells should be ringing. Not just in Washington or Tel Aviv, either. London may or may not be in range, but Berlin and Moscow almost certainly are.
File this under “Be afraid. Be very afraid.”
And on the lighter side of things:
Iran plans to demonstrate its Shahab-3 defensive missile for observers. That’s how a doomsday device becomes a doomsday device. You demonstrate it so that there’s no doubt about its capabilities, then you glare icily at your enemies and dare them to do something about it.
The post also discusses the recent failed test of an Arrow missile defense system, which Israel hopes will protect it from doomsday devices. With pictures.