John at OpFor: Has Iraq degenerated into Civil War?
Some decent discussion in the comments. My own entry:
It’s a civil war and has been for quite some time. But a low-intensity, guerrilla-type civil war.
The bad guys have taken the fight to the Iraqi military and police, and they’re backed and supported in the field by irregular paramilitary forces and terrorists.
A lot of the civilian-on-civilian bloodshed might not really count as a “civil war”, but just because there is civil strife, gang warfare, and terrorism doesn’t mean that a war isn’t being fought. Just because one side has no chance of winning doesn’t mean that they aren’t fighting.
As long as US troops are there, no one will back the insurgents enough to make it the “civil war” that critics are hoping for, but I fear that trying too hard to pretend that there isn’t a civil war of any kind taking place will hurt our chances to stabilize things.
And, no, I’m not a Chicken Little Hawk crying that the sky is falling.
We just need to own up to the fact that this is a lot more than gangs and angry neighbors.
As is the situation in Iraq, my reasoning remains unchanged.