Well, I missed the beginning of it but what I’m hearing is about what I expected to hear.
Iraqi Oil Wealth Sharing? About time. [UPDATE: Instapundit notes this too and says “A bit late, but perhaps not quite too late“.]
This seems to be a rather mediocre delivery. Which is pretty good for W. Once again I’ve got the feeling that if Tony Blair were the US President and was giving this same speech using the exact same text, folks in living rooms across America would be standing and cheering every point.
He notes that if we announced phased withdrawals, the killings will be on a “scale unimaginable”. Actually, they’re not all that unimaginable. We’ve seen them before. When we’ve left before we should have. When we never went in the first place. They are all too imaginable.
UPDATE: Related to the Bush’s speech, though, I’d like to point out something that I noticed earlier today on the excellent Defense Tech post I pointed out:
Good analysis in this video from Paul Rieckhoff and Lt. Gen. Rick Francona. “This is not like a Haily Mary pass on the part of the President,” Paul says. “This is like calling a draw play when you’re down big in the 4th quarter.”
You can see the interview (with the lovable Chris Matthews) on YouTube. The analysis, as Noah on DT says, is good. But the football analogy is godawful.
Who, anywhere at any time, is comparing this “surge” to a “Hail Mary pass”? Hail Mary passes are last-second, last-ditch, nothing-left-to-lose all-or-nothing play at the end of the game when you are leaving your fate in the hands of Providence because there’s no other option. This “surge” is nothing like that at all. In any way. And I don’t know of anyone who has said that it is.
However, the “draw play when you’re down big in the 4th quarter” isn’t close to the mark, either. Why? Because it isn’t like a draw play. We aren’t down big. And it isn’t the 4th quarter. Otherwise it’s a very solid analogy.
Iraq is crucial. But there’s a long, long way to go.