The ‘Surge’ – Early Returns

General thoughts:

My initial reaction to coverage of the “surge” is that it must be working. What makes me think this? Well, mostly that there isn’t much coverage. When it comes to the military and today’s media, “no news is good news”.

Part of the reason for little news seems to be that the Sadrists don’t seem to be doing much to oppose the combined US and Iraqi push into their territory towards the south. That’s good, short term, because we don’t have to fight them. But it could be bad news in the long run if we have to fight them before this is all over, which seems pretty likely.

North of the city, Sunnis seems to be on the offensive. You’d think they’d lay low a bit and hope the Shiites bog down the Americans. Maybe they’re feeling the pressure in places like Ramadi and need to strike before it snowballs against them? Wishful thinking, probably.

Only one of the five “surged” brigades is in action right now. The second, the 4th Brigade, 1st Infantry Division, just finished arriving in Kuwait and will be joining the fight shortly. So don’t hold your breath. This will take time to unfold.

Last, but certainly not least, I direct you to the latest Baghdad Order of Battle at Bill Roggio’s place.

Comments

  1. Must the surge be working? Or are the Shia insurgents merely good observers of Mao’s rules on guerilla warfare? ‘When the enemy advances, withdraw; when he stops, harass; when he tires, strike; when he retreats, pursue.’

  2. Jason: Well, I didn’t quote Mao, but isn’t that basically what I said? Sadrists not fighting = good in the short, maybe not so good in the long if they’re just waiting.

  3. Why do some people insist on crediting Mao with tactics he plagerized from Sun Tzu? Mao was a lousy military tactician and stole those parts of his red book from ‘The Art of War’ (circa 300BC).