How to tell

It’s no secret. Murdoc’s voting for McCain. I’ve been a fan of most of what the man has done in the Senate (with a couple of major black marks against him, though) but I’m less than thrilled that he’s apparently the best the GOP can come up with.

However, Obama is very nearly the exact polar opposite of what I want when it comes to the issues that matter to me the most, and though McCain is obviously farther to the Left than Bush, Obama is farther to the Left than John Kerry. I agree with those who say the Republican party needs to be shook up a bit (or a lot), but I don’t think putting Obama behind the big desk is the way to do it. You don’t try to lose weight by injecting yourself with flesh-eating bacteria.

Yes, some will complain about Murdoc comparing Obama to flesh-eating bacteria. Murdoc’s long past worrying about the complainers.

Here’s what I see going in to the big day:

If the major news outlets start calling Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida with a lot of precincts not yet reported, I’ll figure that it’s damn close. If we hear about a lot of “voting irregularities,” especially involving electronic voting machines, I’ll suspect McCain is winning.

If they hold off calling them to “not interfere with voter perceptions” and to “make sure everyone’s vote counts,” or that it’s just “too close to call,” I’ll figure McCain is probably winning. Close races where Obama has a tiny lead will not be judged too close to call.

If McCain manages to squeak it out and win the big prize, I’ll figure the biggest loser on election day are the major news outlets. As in: They did everything they could think of to win the election for Obama and still failed. Their influence over the American people is mortally wounded. I hope I’m wrong, but I’ve not seen much evidence that I am.

I do think McCain has a solid chance. I also think that Obama has a solid advantage. The key is for every Republican and/or Conservative to get out there and vote. Even if things start looking bad as exit polls and early results from the east coast start trickling in. Even if all appears lost. Get out and vote. Get on the phone and make sure your friends and family do, too.


  1. Nice comment about what you see happening on the big day. I will add that in Missouri, a Federal judge will rule that the polls in St. Louis will have to remain open past the scheduled closing time. I also believe all counties in MO will report their results except for St. Louis. They always wait until everyone else has reported so they know many votes the democrat needs to win.

  2. I am a US citizen, but having never lived there, I don’t vote and won’t vote till I do (for the same arguments against having someone who wasn’t born in the US to be as president… simply, I don’t know enough about local life).

    But I do follow the elections as much as possible from the portal of the internet and news here in the UK.

    What I really hate… is that there is no arguments here as to who should be elected, just that people like Obama, and dislike McCain. Noone here knows why… everyone just dislikes McCain.

    This is purely as a result of media spin here – McCain gets no good media and Obama gets no bad media. To be fair, it’s nearly impossible to hear on the news what either politician has to say on key issues!

    The bad side to this is that, no matter what… public perception here in the UK is that they already dislike McCain. Why… noone will be able to say. Just annoying why the UK media are already trying to influence the UK’s disposition on elections before even realising what sort of impact we may have on UK/US relations!

  3. I was for McCain (a rarity here in Brazil), but Palin was a extremely dumb, ridiculous and lame choice. So Im sincerely hoping for Obama, even if I disagree in many of his positions. I rather have someone competent and intelligent that I disagree with than a clueless half-crazy person like Palin.

  4. I cast my absentee ballot for McCain weeks ago. I’ve been telling everyone with the temerity to ask that I voted for Goldwater.

  5. “I was for McCain (a rarity here in Brazil), but Palin was a extremely dumb, ridiculous and lame choice. ”

    Wow, Biden can’t face the press-Biden can’t remember anything he said the day before-argued that everyone had a television in 1929 and FDR was President then-Yet Palin’s “extremely dumb”?

    Wow. She’s got one of the highest approval ratings of any American Politician in history-yet she’s ridiculous.

    You’d probably argue that Sen. Obama is experienced too.

  6. Vitor,

    If you truly believe what you have posted, then you have no business voting anywhere.

    I have reached that point in my life where I truly believe we need a minimum IQ or educational standard in order to vote.

    A simple, non-partisan test, administered by the city clerk’s office once a quarter. You want to vote? Study the issues, learn the Constitution and show up for the test. Bring a photo ID and a copy of your birth certificate or nationalization papers.


  7. Not that I’m calling anybody dumb, but I’d vote for a dumb person who has a track record of doing a good job, making the right decisions and fighting corruption than I would the most intelligent person in the world who has voted for or promoted wrong and dangerous ideas.

    For some reason a lot of academics have very distorted world views, so much so that I wouldn’t trust them to make the right decisions in a position of power. Academics are supposed to be smart people. Therefore I don’t think intelligence necessarily translates into political success. Perhaps it’s a lack of pragmatism due to an insular life? I don’t know, but I think it’s a real phenomenon.

  8. Nicholas,

    I agree with you completely. I am more worried about those casting votes than those being voted for (or against).

  9. Heh. There are many kind of intelligencies, including the political one, which many academicals lack. And McCain lacked it too by choosing Palin in order to get the religious right into his boat. The thing is that the religious zealots are among the main responsibles, along with the neocons, for how worn out the Republican Party become.

    And this “anti-intelectuallism” instance is a fatal hypocrisy in any political party, because as far I remember all political parties were started by intellectuals. And its bullshit also, because no matter how “Commun Joe” the man/woman elected is, the people that run the show behind the curtains in Washigton are all think-tanks, academical “snobs” who happens to be politically smart.

    Oh well, I wish the best for the USA, because its an awesome country.

  10. “And McCain lacked it too by choosing Palin in order to get the religious right into his boat. The thing is that the religious zealots are among the main responsibles, along with the neocons, for how worn out the Republican Party become.”

    Well once again you are wrong. McCain chose Palin to have a chance. He would have run out of ehthusiasm and money if he hadn’t chosen someone who was new and had traditional conservative support. She excites me-because she has a proven track record Sen. Obama doesn’t have-he just doesn’t. She’s crushed the corrupt part of HER OWN PARTY. Let’s see Sen. Obama even consider that. By the way-I’m not not evangelical-but I like Palin.

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